Cost of housing Macron’s migrants to rise to £11.7bn per year within 2 years, says Govt

Crunch vote for the PM being taken this evening. We bring you what you - and MPs - need to know

Montage © Facts4EU.Org 2023

Our exclusive report might be of interest to the MPs voting this evening on the Rishi Sunak's Rwanda Bill

In an usual move late yesterday afternoon the Government published a summary of the legal opinion its own lawyers have provided on ‘the Rwanda Bill’ being debated today in Parliament. This document contains the extraordinary admission that :-

“The government estimates that if illegal immigration goes unaddressed, the costs of asylum accommodation alone could increase to £32 million per day by 2026 – equivalent to £11 billion per year”

In fact £32m per day equates to £11.7bn per year, but numbers do not seem to be this government’s strong suit. This shocking sum is only for the cost of housing ‘Macron’s migrants’ – those who leave safe French shores illegally in small boats, heading for the UK and almost certain permanent settlement. It does not include all the other costs incurred by the UK taxpayer in respect of their welfare, daily spending money, etc. We believe this does also include housing costs for illegal migrants who came via other means.

Brexit Facts4EU.Org Summary

The exponential rise in the cost to the UK of housing Macron's migrants

2021-2022 : £2.28bn
2022-2023 : £3.6bn
2023-2024 : £6.0bn (extrapolated estimate)
2025-2026 : £11.7bn (official Home Office estimate)

[Sources : National Audit Office | Home Office | House of Commons Library.]

It should be noted that this latest Home Office estimate for 2025-2026 is not far short of the sum which the United Kingdom was paying in net contributions to the EU budget while it was still a member.

The big vote today

No-one knows how the parliamentary vote will turn out today on the Government’s third attempt to legislate against illegal migration – known colloquially as ‘the Rwanda Bill’ – but it could be highly significant for the future prospects of Mr Sunak and his government.

The Government’s response to the 'Star Chamber' legal report yesterday

In response to all the criticism, late afternoon yesterday the Government most unusually published its legal position on the Safety of Rwanda (Asylum and Immigration) Bill 2023 and accompanying measures.

One of the most shocking statements in this publication was the following :-

“The government estimates that if illegal immigration goes unaddressed, the costs of asylum accommodation alone could increase to £32 million per day by 2026 – equivalent to £11 billion per year”

In fact £32m per day equates to £11.7bn per year.

Observations

Once again we are compelled to ask why no-one is asking why President Macron will not simply agree to take his migrants back. In one fell swoop this would stop the illegal boat migrants and prevent the soaring costs to the UK of having to house them.

There would then be no need for the Rwanda plan and the Government could get on with dealing with all the other pressing needs of the moment, such as the poor productivity, the cost of living, the lack of housing, the failures of the NHS, the need to cull EU laws still on the statute book, and all the other issues that people are concerned about.

That said, what about the big vote this evening?

“This Bill is not fit for purpose,” said ERG Chairman Mark Francois MP yesterday, following the release of the 'Star Chamber' report.

At the time of writing (3.30am Tuesday), almost no Conservative MP is saying whether they will abstain or whether they will actually vote against the Bill. As so often, the sums are important. A combination of both – with the opposition parties voting against – could mean defeat for Rishi Sunak. Whilst the vote will not technically be a ‘confidence motion’, if the Prime Minister loses it will put him in a very difficult position.

Sunak without the “a for approval” from his own MPs spells “Sunk”.

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[ Sources: UK Government | Home Office | ERG Star Chamber | ] Politicians and journalists can contact us for details, as ever.

Brexit Facts4EU.Org, Tues 12 Dec 2023

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Reader Comments 10

1. Sparky , Tuesday, December 12, 2023, 07:20:

Migration is a world issue, not just for the UK. It will only be reduced or solved by international efforts to look at the source of the migration and the reasons for it. Part of the problem has been wars such as Syria and Afghanistan. The isolationist approach by the likes of the ERG and nationalist politicians is not going to work.
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France does not have to take back people who have crossed in small boats. under the UN Refugee Convention "Refugees can legitimately make a claim for asylum in the UK after passing through other “safe” countries". source Full Fact "Do refugees have to stay in the first safe country they reach?".

2. Old Albion , Tuesday, December 12, 2023, 07:52:

'Sparky' You speak of refugees. When it's clear that the vast majority crossing the channel are not refugees, but illegal immigrants seeking a free ride on the back of the UK (mostly English) taxpayers.

3. Ashley Great Britain , Tuesday, December 12, 2023, 08:18:

1 sparky.
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It may well be a world issue but that doesn't help us at all.
As 2 old Albion says the MAJORITY are young men looking for rich pickings in soft touch UK.
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The UN convention and the ECHR also don't help us. Just because they say it's okay.
We're sick and tired of the merry go round of government weakness and failure.
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The Rwanda deal is utter rubbish. At first it appeared a great deterrent and a good place to send them.
Now we know we have to pay for them there on a daily basis.
Food/lodging/medical/support. Rwanda can send us anyone they wish in return. We must take back any that commit crimes and pay for them in our justice system, All people that have no claim to reside here and just stepped of an illigal boat.
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This will fail in parliament tonight.
The left woke blob hate it because it STARTS to deal with illigal migrants, And the normal right and center see it for what it is. Weak,expensive,unworkable.
If only we had strong government who would actually deal with this.
Leave ECHR, Stop payments to France, Turn back the boats with Royal Navy way before they reach half way, Detain any who land and treat as minor criminals. Return any young men to any EU country, maybe Ireland? The EU are in it together,No. and only support genuine refugees. Where are the woman and children?
40 years of EU infiltration, And Liberal lovey lefty madness have lead us right here.

4. Sparky , Tuesday, December 12, 2023, 08:48:

3 AGB. I’m not convinced with Rwanda but it’s worth a try, providing it is within the law.
.
Leaving ECHR not going to happen, UK was a founding member in the aftermath of WWII, the TCA and GF are tied to ECHR.
.
Pitti Patel tried to get the RN to stop boats, they refused under maritime law. It would likely result in a loss of life, imagine the reaction from the UK and rest of the world.

5. Sparky , Tuesday, December 12, 2023, 09:08:

2 OA. The UNHCR commented in 2022 that the majority crossing the channel were refugees.
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The deal with Albania appears to be working, more of this type of pragmatic, responsible approach is required. Trouble is the information that it appears to be working is coming from our MP’s and THEY can’t be trusted.

6. Llwyd , Tuesday, December 12, 2023, 10:54:

5 Sparky. The same UNHCR that transports tens of thousands of ‘refugees’ to Rwanda itself paid for by the EU you mean?
And then they have the gall to criticise our policy. They simply want to control national government policy and remove sovereign power like most supranational organisations (WTO, UN, WEF, EU, WHO et al).
Also Illegal immigrants are NOT refugees Sparky. Refugees tend not to be healthy young men with thousands of pounds to hand over to people smugglers. And why do they ditch their mobile phones and documentation before they head over from Calais? Still never heard a straight answer for that one.

7. NH , Tuesday, December 12, 2023, 11:04:

1. Sparky , "Migration is a world issue"
I have news for you, the world is not the European Union. Why aren't the migrants from the Middle East going to the wealthy Middle East countries which have a similar religion and culture ? Is illegal immigration a problem for Australia, New Zealand, Japan, China, South Korea, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, Canada etc ?
.
1. Sparky , "source of the migration and the reasons for it"
International Efforts are not going to solve this. It takes years to get any type of International Agreements and the cost would be ridiculously huge and they would be a constant ongoing cost. The only option is for the UK to solve this ourselves by removing the "pull factor" .
.
4. Sparky , "Leaving ECHR not going to happen"
ECHR Judgements have previously been ignored by leading European Countries on multiple occasions. These include Germany, France, Italy and Spain. This has not resulted in any further action. The UK could do the same as the ECHR is not a powerful institution. The truth seems to be that civil servants, some politicians and other powerful figures are using the ECHR and other treaties as convenient excuses to prevent democratic control. The present electorate has never agreed to membership of the ECHR or to other treaties and should not be bound by them. Democracy will eventually take control because the consequences of not doing this will be too extreme.

8. jon iivesey , Tuesday, December 12, 2023, 17:58:

1. Sparky , "Migration is a world issue, not just for the UK" Now that is really stupid thing to say, even for you, Sparky. There is only one World. The "World" is not receiving migrants from somewhere else. What is happening is that migrants are moving from one part of the World to another. So it's an issue for destination countries, such as the UK, not for the World in general.
You keep saying these really dumb things because you buy into the "everything is everything" idiocy of the typical snowflake. No, everything is not everything. Some countries are sending migrants and some are receiving. Some countries are generous and some are not. Some countries are organized and some are chaotic. Some countries are funding migration and some are exploiting it. Macron knows he has a good fiddle going, so he's using it. UK money today, and maybe France will do something maybe next year, if you are lucky.
The idea hat w are all in this together and all helping is one of the typical con-games of the third-World countries that have figured out that migration is yet another way for the poorer countries - actually their rich Mercedes driving elites - to extract more money from the taxpayers in the richer countries.
When you are giving money to the rest of the World, you are allowed to understand what is going on. You don't have to play stupid.

9. jon iivesey , Tuesday, December 12, 2023, 18:21:

As someone who is broadly in favour of legal controlled immigration, the kind of immigration that can improve demographics and supply needed labour, I am constantly struck by how well Labour and its supporters have managed to turn the entire migration issue into a guilt-tripping issue directed against the rest of us.
Labour has a permanent pretence of virtue. Labour and its supporters constantly parade their supposed superior compassion and empathy. But what are they actually doing? Labour supporters - apart from the occasional champagne socialist - are not exactly the top paying taxpayers, so Labour is pretending greater compassion when in fact all they are really doing is aiming to spend more of other peoples' money.
And if they are elected in 2024, they will spend taxpayer money and talk about it as if it's their own. They will talk as if the Labour party itself is funding the country, but what will really happen is that Labour will be busily spending everyone's tax money to favour this and that group of Labour supporters. Besides migrants, we'll most likely get another wave of Blairism, where no problem is ever solved, but every unionised group can look forward to a wage increase.
We already have very high tax levels, and what can Starmer really do if he is elected? Labour has no real expertise in solving problems. Labour's front bench is the usual cabal of union leaders, drunks and has-beens. Starmer has never offered a practical solution to any problem, so all he will be able to do, if he reaches office, is spend your money.

10. jon , Tuesday, December 12, 2023, 19:23:

just as we have special constables we need special border force not only to repel, but to round up and deport these illegals

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